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1 min read

Eagles–Bears: Under 41.5 Points

Chicago’s quarterback uncertainty and Philadelphia’s inconsistent scoring set up a lower-scoring Monday night matchup.

The pick

PHI @ CHI

Locked
  1. Total points
    Under 41.5
    Odds
    1.91
    Stake
    1u

    DraftKings odds were listed in ESPN’s NFL scoreboard odds feed as Under 41.5 at -110, accurately converted to decimal 1.91 (1 + 100/110 = 1.909..., rounded). 1u is 2% of bankroll per the API stake mapping. The under case rests on Chicago QB Caleb Williams being ruled out with a hamstring injury and uncertainty at backup, plus Philadelphia’s modest scoring output noted in the contemporaneous matchup coverage. Counterevidence matters: Chicago had strong early rushing production and Philadelphia had allowed substantial rushing yards, so this is a measured lean rather than a claim that the Bears cannot score. Evidence: ESPN event odds/injuries and Lineups matchup analysis.

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Eagles at Bears: Under 41.5 points

Pick: Under 41.5 — decimal odds 1.91; 1u represents 2% of bankroll.

Chicago is without Caleb Williams (hamstring), while ESPN’s injury report lists Tyson Bagent as questionable with a concussion, leaving uncertainty at quarterback. The matchup evidence is not one-sided: Lineups reports Chicago’s strong early rushing production and Philadelphia’s run-defense vulnerability, so the under case depends on Chicago’s pass-game limitation and Philadelphia’s own modest scoring output rather than assuming the Bears cannot move the ball. Lineups independently lists Under 41.5 as its DraftKings best bet.

Odds source: ESPN’s NFL scoreboard odds feed identifies DraftKings and lists the Under 41.5 price at -110. Converted from American odds: 1 + 100/110 = 1.909..., rounded to 1.91.

Research: ESPN event odds and injury report · Lineups matchup analysis · USA Today matchup preview

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